Wednesday, 3 April 2013

CCFC 1 v 1 LEICESTER





Well here we are with (after tonight's game) only 10 stomach-churning, gut-wrenching, buttock-clenching, fingernail-chewing, toe-curling, eye-watering, oesophageal-refluxing, stress-inducing, heart-fibrillating, follicle-desaturating, sanity-questioning, morale-sapping games left. Time to take stock. To put superstition, irrational thought, blind panic and defeatism to one side and take a long hard look at the facts:


(At this point I was going to trot out a number of nerve-settling statistics. Problem is there are so many out there and I'm not qualified to interpret them so take a look at http://www.statto.com/football/teams/cardiff-city and select the ones that suit your mood and general disposition).


One for the optimists: In the last 5 seasons, the average number of points required to finish in the second automatic promotion spot was 85. The lowest points total was Stoke's 79 in 2008. We've already got 71 for goodness sake! So promotion will be ours should we manage a paltry 0.72 points per game from now on, or something less than one win in four.


One for the pessimists: In 2010 West Brom required 91 points to secure 2nd place behind Newcastle. If we were to lose tonight we would require an average of 2.00 points per game. A defeat tonight will mean that our current points average over the last four games will be 1.00


One for the realists: After tonight's win, just 5 more wins and two draws from the remaining games would give us 90 points which would have been sufficient to gain automatic promotion in 26 of the last 30 seasons.



So as the desperate, the dangerously deluded and the plain daft gathered again within the walled enclave to bear witness and play out their strange medieval rituals, to chant their obscure ambiguous songs and wait in vain for the sweet white smoke of certainty to rise from within, it was with some relief that both captain Hudson, Malky's chosen one, and the prodigal son Bellamy both returned to the squad.


It was a bitterly cold evening. The incongruous strains of dead disco diva Donna Summer's 'Hot Stuff' ('I need some hot stuff baby this evening etc...') faded away and the game soon settled into a pattern of early City territorial advantage but without any obvious signs of a breakthrough against the meanest defence in the league. True, Conway's pace and trickery brought two early bookings but an organised back four, marshalled by the imperious Wes Morgan, showed few signs of being breached.


The Foxes played a central three across midfield which was sufficient to dominate against the guileless Gunnarsson and witless Whittingham. Their potent strike force of former England international David Nugent and the free-scoring Chris Wood were however unable to get the better of a much-improved and disciplined City central defence.


Worryingly on 30 minutes the man responsible for that solidity, Hudson, required treatment and returned to the fray with a heavily strapped ankle to see out the half.

We continued to pepper the opposition box with long throw-ins, corners and free kicks but the final delivery showed little invention and keeper Schmeical was rarely troubled.


So the first forty five drew to a close and as top half-time tune 'All Along The Watchtower' emphasised, there was 'no reason to get excited' but it at least held open the hope that 'there must be some way outta here...' Unfortunately the way became less clear with the failure of Hudson to appear after the interval. This meant we had to see out the game with a patched up pairing of Nugent and Connolly; McNaughton coming on at right back.


On the plus side, Bellamy replaced Noone. On the down side, a clearly unfit Bellamy replaced Noone.


Leicester began to take control but on the back of a poor run of results were similarly unconvincing in search of a breakthrough even against a seriously vulnerable City defence where Nugent was as plausible as the hackneyed prose of an amateur football hack.


Twenty minutes in there was at last a period of goalmouth incident as Woods latched onto a ball from Nugent but was denied by the advancing Marshall and at the other end three consecutive corners followed a Frazer Campbell lunge at a crisp Smith cross.


On 70 minutes Gestede was introduced, replacing Conway. Shortly after, the home defence failed to deal with a corner which rebounded back off the upright, the relief only brief as the ball was returned into the box to be dispatched by efficient urbane Fox defender Keane (on loan from Man Utd). 0-1 and the ground shook at the weight of despairing heads falling into hands.


Our response was at best muted until the final few minutes. Despite their failings it cannot be denied that this team will continue to fight to the death, when all hope amongst the steadily dwindling home support has gone. We had two chances to level the game just before the board confirmed four minutes of Pro Supplements - sponsored injury time. Gestede knocked down to Whittingham who pulled his shot just wide and Campbell should have done better, just failing to latch onto an incisive Bellamy cross.


Deep into Pro Supplemented time, Man of the Match Taylor fired in a cross from the left and Rudy rose above a tired Foxes defence to head down into the corner for an unlikely equaliser, received with rapturous relief.


And so the faithful walked away after another inconclusive conclave, into the cold night air, still and clear but for the faint whiff of that all-too-familiar acrid stench arising from the pyre of unfulfilled premier ambition as our dreams turn to smoke.


On the plus side, we're 5 points clear of 3rd with a game in hand. Keep the faith!

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